APEX
QUANTITATIVE FORECASTING
The Math Speaks.
TODAY'S CARD
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2026 · 7 GAMES · 14 POSITIONS · ATS · TOTALS
G01

Philadelphia 76ers @ Chicago Bulls

3:30 PM ET
ATS
Philadelphia 76ersAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGElite

Win %: 58.8 (away)

FanDuel line: -9.5 (away) · Price: -108

The model estimates a 58.8% chance for Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 to cover. The T-6 source projection listed Josh Giddey for the Chicago Bulls at 29.9 minutes with 0.6 EPM. The T-6 source projection listed Jaylen Brown for the Philadelphia 76ers at 35.0 minutes with 0.5 EPM. The T-6 source team EPM was -4.9 for the Chicago Bulls and 4.2 for the Philadelphia 76ers. The injury report before T-6 listed Adem Bona, Ariel Hukporti and Dominick Barlow as Out for the Philadelphia 76ers and Dailyn Swain, Jaylin Sellers and Zach Collins as Out for the Chicago Bulls. The tier is Elite.

TOTALS
OverAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGElite

Win %: 54.7 (Over)

FanDuel line: 238.5 · Price: -106

The model estimates a 54.7% chance for Over 238.5 on the total. Dunk & Threes projected 239.2 total points, 0.7 points above the FanDuel total of 238.5. Dunk & Threes projected 116.6 points for the Chicago Bulls and 122.6 for the Philadelphia 76ers. The T-6 source team EPM was -4.9 for the Chicago Bulls and 4.2 for the Philadelphia 76ers. The injury report before T-6 listed Adem Bona, Ariel Hukporti and Dominick Barlow as Out for the Philadelphia 76ers and Dailyn Swain, Jaylin Sellers and Zach Collins as Out for the Chicago Bulls. The tier is Elite.

G02

Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons

6:00 PM ET
ATS
Los Angeles LakersAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGStrong

Win %: 56.7 (away)

FanDuel line: 4.5 (away) · Price: -110

The model estimates a 56.7% chance for Los Angeles Lakers +4.5 to cover. The T-6 source projection listed Cade Cunningham for the Detroit Pistons at 33.8 minutes with 4.4 EPM. The T-6 source projection listed Austin Reaves for the Los Angeles Lakers at 35.4 minutes with 3.7 EPM. The T-6 source team EPM was 3.3 for the Detroit Pistons and 6.5 for the Los Angeles Lakers. The injury report before T-6 listed Isaiah Joe, Jalen Duren and Ugonna Onyenso as Out for the Detroit Pistons. The tier is Strong.

TOTALS
UnderAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGElite

Win %: 53.9 (Under)

FanDuel line: 221.5 · Price: -106

The model estimates a 53.9% chance for Under 221.5 on the total. Dunk & Threes projected 220.9 total points, 0.6 points below the FanDuel total of 221.5. Dunk & Threes projected 110.9 points for the Detroit Pistons and 110.0 for the Los Angeles Lakers. The T-6 source team EPM was 3.3 for the Detroit Pistons and 6.5 for the Los Angeles Lakers. The injury report before T-6 listed Isaiah Joe, Jalen Duren and Ugonna Onyenso as Out for the Detroit Pistons. The tier is Elite.

G03

Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves

7:00 PM ET
ATS
Minnesota TimberwolvesAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGWeak

Win %: 51.1 (home)

FanDuel line: -11.5 (home) · Price: -105

The model estimates a 51.1% chance for Minnesota Timberwolves -11.5 to cover. The T-6 source projection listed Jaden McDaniels for the Minnesota Timberwolves at 34.5 minutes with 2.3 EPM. The T-6 source projection listed Lauri Markkanen for the Utah Jazz at 32.1 minutes with 2.5 EPM. The T-6 source team EPM was 2.3 for the Minnesota Timberwolves and -5.8 for the Utah Jazz. The injury report before T-6 listed Harrison Ingram, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkic and Trey Alexander as Out for the Utah Jazz and Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo as Out for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The tier is Weak.

TOTALS
OverAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGWeak

Win %: 50.5 (Over)

FanDuel line: 224.5 · Price: -110

The model estimates a 50.5% chance for Over 224.5 on the total. Dunk & Threes projected 227.2 total points, 2.7 points above the FanDuel total of 224.5. Dunk & Threes projected 118.6 points for the Minnesota Timberwolves and 108.6 for the Utah Jazz. The T-6 source team EPM was 2.3 for the Minnesota Timberwolves and -5.8 for the Utah Jazz. The injury report before T-6 listed Harrison Ingram, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkic and Trey Alexander as Out for the Utah Jazz and Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo as Out for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The tier is Weak.

G04

Brooklyn Nets @ Dallas Mavericks

7:30 PM ET
ATS
Dallas MavericksAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGModerate

Win %: 53.3 (home)

FanDuel line: -8.5 (home) · Price: -105

The model estimates a 53.3% chance for Dallas Mavericks -8.5 to cover. The T-6 source projection listed Cooper Flagg for the Dallas Mavericks at 34.5 minutes with 3.2 EPM. The T-6 source projection listed Michael Porter Jr. for the Brooklyn Nets at 34.5 minutes with 2.1 EPM. The T-6 source team EPM was -2.0 for the Dallas Mavericks and -6.5 for the Brooklyn Nets. The injury report before T-6 listed Dereck Lively II, Sergio De Larrea and Tarik Biberovic as Out for the Dallas Mavericks. The tier is Moderate.

TOTALS
OverAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGElite

Win %: 52.3 (Over)

FanDuel line: 221.5 · Price: -114

The model estimates a 52.3% chance for Over 221.5 on the total. Dunk & Threes projected 224.9 total points, 3.4 points above the FanDuel total of 221.5. Dunk & Threes projected 117.1 points for the Dallas Mavericks and 107.8 for the Brooklyn Nets. The T-6 source team EPM was -2.0 for the Dallas Mavericks and -6.5 for the Brooklyn Nets. The injury report before T-6 listed Dereck Lively II, Sergio De Larrea and Tarik Biberovic as Out for the Dallas Mavericks. The tier is Elite.

G05

Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks

8:00 PM ET
ATS
Boston CelticsAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGWeak

Win %: 50.7 (away)

FanDuel line: -12.5 (away) · Price: -118

The model estimates a 50.7% chance for Boston Celtics -12.5 to cover. The T-6 source projection listed Tyler Herro for the Milwaukee Bucks at 32.2 minutes with 1.4 EPM. The T-6 source projection listed Jayson Tatum for the Boston Celtics at 33.7 minutes with 6.8 EPM. The T-6 source team EPM was -6.9 for the Milwaukee Bucks and 10.0 for the Boston Celtics. The injury report before T-6 listed Amari Williams, Chris Cenac Jr., Devin Carter and Dillon Mitchell as Out for the Boston Celtics and Bogoljub Marković, Cormac Ryan, Kam Jones and Pete Nance as Out for the Milwaukee Bucks. The tier is Weak.

TOTALS
OverAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGStrong

Win %: 51.4 (Over)

FanDuel line: 220.5 · Price: -110

The model estimates a 51.4% chance for Over 220.5 on the total. Dunk & Threes projected 229.1 total points, 8.6 points above the FanDuel total of 220.5. Dunk & Threes projected 108.0 points for the Milwaukee Bucks and 121.1 for the Boston Celtics. The T-6 source team EPM was -6.9 for the Milwaukee Bucks and 10.0 for the Boston Celtics. The injury report before T-6 listed Amari Williams, Chris Cenac Jr., Devin Carter and Dillon Mitchell as Out for the Boston Celtics and Bogoljub Marković, Cormac Ryan, Kam Jones and Pete Nance as Out for the Milwaukee Bucks. The tier is Strong.

G06

New Orleans Pelicans @ LA Clippers

9:00 PM ET
ATS
New Orleans PelicansAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGModerate

Win %: 52.0 (away)

FanDuel line: -1.5 (away) · Price: -110

The model estimates a 52.0% chance for New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 to cover. The T-6 source projection listed Darius Garland for the LA Clippers at 32.2 minutes with 1.0 EPM. The T-6 source projection listed Trey Murphy III for the New Orleans Pelicans at 32.6 minutes with 1.2 EPM. The T-6 source team EPM was -2.9 for the LA Clippers and -3.9 for the New Orleans Pelicans. The injury report before T-6 listed Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Isaiah Jackson and Jordan Miller as Out for the LA Clippers and Jaron Pierre Jr., Malik Dia and Yves Missi as Out for the New Orleans Pelicans. The tier is Moderate.

TOTALS
UnderAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGElite

Win %: 52.4 (Under)

FanDuel line: 227.5 · Price: -110

The model estimates a 52.4% chance for Under 227.5 on the total. Dunk & Threes projected 230.8 total points, 3.3 points above the FanDuel total of 227.5. Dunk & Threes projected 116.4 points for the LA Clippers and 114.4 for the New Orleans Pelicans. The T-6 source team EPM was -2.9 for the LA Clippers and -3.9 for the New Orleans Pelicans. The injury report before T-6 listed Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Isaiah Jackson and Jordan Miller as Out for the LA Clippers and Jaron Pierre Jr., Malik Dia and Yves Missi as Out for the New Orleans Pelicans. The tier is Elite.

G07

Miami Heat @ Sacramento Kings

9:00 PM ET
ATS
Sacramento KingsAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGStrong

Win %: 55.6 (home)

FanDuel line: 9.5 (home) · Price: -110

The model estimates a 55.6% chance for Sacramento Kings +9.5 to cover. The T-6 source projection listed Darius Acuff Jr. for the Sacramento Kings at 36.3 minutes with -1.2 EPM. The T-6 source projection listed Davion Mitchell for the Miami Heat at 35.4 minutes with 1.9 EPM. The T-6 source team EPM was -10.8 for the Sacramento Kings and 2.8 for the Miami Heat. The injury report before T-6 listed Tre Donaldson and Vladislav Goldin as Out for the Miami Heat and Ben Simmons, Jonathan Mogbo, Maxime Raynaud and Sean Pedulla as Out for the Sacramento Kings. The tier is Strong.

TOTALS
OverAPEX WIN PROBABILITY RATINGModerate

Win %: 51.2 (Over)

FanDuel line: 238.5 · Price: -110

The model estimates a 51.2% chance for Over 238.5 on the total. Dunk & Threes projected 239.4 total points, 0.9 points above the FanDuel total of 238.5. Dunk & Threes projected 115.7 points for the Sacramento Kings and 123.7 for the Miami Heat. The T-6 source team EPM was -10.8 for the Sacramento Kings and 2.8 for the Miami Heat. The injury report before T-6 listed Tre Donaldson and Vladislav Goldin as Out for the Miami Heat and Ben Simmons, Jonathan Mogbo, Maxime Raynaud and Sean Pedulla as Out for the Sacramento Kings. The tier is Moderate.

APEX NBA · THE MATH SPEAKS.